The Golden Globes are my favorite award show. Yes, I love seeing television get its day in the sun with the Emmys; I love the way the SAG Awards honor my favorite thing about most films (the performances); and you can’t beat the Oscars when it comes to glamour and style. But the Golden Globes are different—the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) brings the worlds of television and film together, and it does so with a genuine sense of humor.
There’s something uniquely fun about the Golden Globes. The celebrities are a little more relaxed. The nominees (and winners) are often a little more random and harder to predict than other award shows. And you can’t mention “fun” and “Golden Globes” in the same sentence without mentioning this year’s returning pair of hilarious hosts: Amy Poehler and Tina Fey.
I’m so excited to watch one of my favorite times of year—award season—kick off tonight. I’m excited to see all of the gorgeous (and maybe not-so-gorgeous) looks on the red carpet. I’m excited to see what smart and memorable material Poehler and Fey have in store for us this year. I’m excited to watch many of my favorites from this year in film and television have their names read along with all the other great nominees. And I’m excited to celebrate film and television, two mediums that I love differently but equally and continue to love more each year.
Before tonight’s ceremony, (which begins at 8 p.m. on NBC), I wanted to share my predictions, which should always be taken with a grain of salt because I often pick with my heart instead of my head when it comes to these things. Let me know in the comments who you think will win, who you think should win, and who you’re most excited to see tonight. And join me on Twitter around 6 p.m. when I kick off my annual Golden Globes live-tweeting coverage!
Best Motion Picture: Drama
12 Years A Slave
My Pick: 12 Years A Slave. While Gravity’s technical brilliance is hard to ignore, I think the emotional impact and sheer nerve of 12 Years A Slave is even harder to overlook.
Best Motion Picture: Comedy Or Musical
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Wolf of Wall Street
My Pick: American Hustle. With a cast full of talented stars used to their fullest potential in a smart, entertaining period piece (which feels weird to say since the 1970s weren’t that long ago), I think American Hustle is the kind of film the HFPA often gravitates towards.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture: Drama
Chiwetel Ejifor (12 Years A Slave)
Idris Elba (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)
Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)
Robert Redford (All is Lost)
My Pick: Chiwetel Ejifor. While Redford could take home the award because of his pedigree (and brilliant work), I still think Ejifor’s work as the heart and soul of the year’s most brutally emotional film will take precedence over the HFPA’s usual bias towards bigger names.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture: Drama
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)
Kate Winslet (Labor Day)
My Pick: Cate Blanchett. While I would give this award to Bullock, I have heard nothing but ecstatic raves for Blanchett’s work, and she seems like a lock in this category filled with great actresses who gave great performances this year.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture: Comedy Or Musical
Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Julie Delpy (Before Midnight)
Greta Gerwig (Frances Ha)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Enough Said)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
My Pick: Amy Adams. Meryl or Amy? In the battle of Hollywood royalty versus the next generation of great actresses, I think Adams is going to come out on top for her standout performance in an ensemble filled with today’s most compelling actors. It’s about time her chameleon-like ability to play nearly every kind of role was rewarded.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture: Comedy Or Musical
Christian Bale (American Hustle)
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Oscar Isaac (Inside Llewyn Davis)
Joaquin Phoenix (Her)
My Pick: Leonardo DiCaprio. As a DiCaprio fangirl since the age of 9, nothing makes me happier than the critical acclaim his work in Wolf of Wall Street is getting, and if anyone deserves some award-season love after so many years of being overlooked, it’s him.
Best Performance by an Actress In A Supporting Role
Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine)
Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years A Slave)
Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
June Squibb (Nebraska)
My Pick: Jennifer Lawrence. The HFPA loves great young actresses, and they love celebrities. Lawrence is one of the most popular celebrities in Hollywood right now, but, even more importantly, she’s also incredibly talented and versatile, which is proven by her scene-stealing work as American Hustle’s ultimate desperate housewife.
Best Performance by an Actor In A Supporting Role
Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
Daniel Bruhl (Rush)
Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
Michael Fassbender (12 Years A Slave)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
My Pick: Jared Leto. In a year where most awards seem up for grabs, Leto is as close to a lock as you’re going to find for his transformative, heartbreaking work in Dallas Buyers Club.
Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity)
Paul Greengrass (Captain Phillips)
Steve McQueen (12 Years A Slave)
Alexander Payne (Nebraska)
David O. Russell (American Hustle)
My Pick: Alfonso Cuarón. Gravity’s revolutionary technical aspects make Cuarón a likely and worthy winner in this category. He could win this award on the strength of the film’s opening sequence alone.
12 Years a Slave
My Pick: Her. A love story based on the connection between a man and an operating system—it sounds crazy in theory, but Her has become one of the movies everyone is talking about and responding to an emotional level. What could have been a ridiculous story is instead being called a heartfelt look at our human need to connect, and that surprising depth comes first and foremost from its very unique screenplay.
Best Animated Feature Film
Despicable Me 2
My Pick: Frozen. Is there any other reasonable choice to make here?
Best Foreign Language Film
Blue is the Warmest Color
The Great Beauty
The Wind Rises
My Pick: Blue is the Warmest Color. This is a category I usually know nothing about, so when I’ve heard of a nominee—like Blue is the Warmest Color—I tend to pick that one. If you’ve seen any of these, I’d love to know your thoughts on them in the comments. (I actually really like foreign films; I just don’t live in a place where they’re shown very often—if at all.)
Best Original Score
All is Lost
The Book Thief
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
12 Years A Slave
My Pick: Gravity. I don’t normally notice a film’s score unless it’s excellent, and I am still thinking about Gravity’s haunting score months after I saw the film.
Best Original Song
“Atlas” (The Hunger Games: Catching Fire)
“Let It Go” (Frozen)
“Ordinary Love” (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)
“Please Mr. Kennedy” (Inside Llewyn Davis)
“Sweeter Than Fiction” (One Chance)
My Pick: “Let It Go.” It’s the best Disney song in years, and it was sung by one of modern musical theater’s greatest voices. That seems to be a recipe for success, if you ask me. (Although Bono’s “Ordinary Love” could prove to be too much star power for the HFPA to resist.)
Best Television Series: Drama
The Good Wife
House of Cards
Masters of Sex
My Pick: Breaking Bad. This was the year of Breaking Bad, and there’s no way the final season of a show already being called one of TV’s greatest won’t be rewarded with nearly every major award, including the Golden Globe.
Best Television Series: Comedy Or Musical
The Big Bang Theory
Parks and Rec
My Pick: Brooklyn Nine-Nine. The HFPA likes to recognize strong freshman seasons, and Brooklyn Nine-Nine is having one heck of a freshman season in terms of the quality of its episodes and the confidence it already has in the kind of show it wants to be. My heart wants to choose Parks and Recreation, but I have a feeling this is going to be a case of “It’s an honor to be nominated” for my favorite TV comedy.
Best Performance by an Actor in a TV Series: Drama
Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad)
Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan)
Michael Sheen (Masters of Sex)
Kevin Spacey (House of Cards)
James Spader (The Blacklist)
My Pick: Kevin Spacey. Don’t count out Cranston for his work in Breaking Bad’s extraordinary final season, but I have a feeling star power and the novelty of Netflix’s original programming will push Spacey over the edge—and it doesn’t hurt that he’s also incredibly talented.
Best Performance by an Actress In A Television Series: Drama
Taylor Schilling (Orange Is The New Black)
Robin Wright (House of Cards)
Tatiana Maslany (Orphan Black)
Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife)
Kerry Washington (Scandal)
My Pick: Tatiana Maslany. This is one of those “heart over head” picks. I would honestly be happy with any of the other women in this category winning, but Maslany does with multiple characters what these other actresses do with just one. My hope is that this is one of those years where the HFPA chooses to honor a rising female star, especially one who is able to emotionally ground a show that could easily become too plot-heavy to function (much like they did all those years ago when they honored Jennifer Garner for her work in Alias’s first season).
Best Performance by an Actress In A Television Series: Comedy Or Musical
Zooey Deschanel (New Girl)
Lena Dunham (Girls)
Edie Falco (Nurse Jackie)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep)
Amy Poehler (Parks and Recreation)
My Pick: Amy Poehler. If I make this pick enough times, it eventually has to come true, right?
Best Performance by an Actor In A Television Series: Comedy Or Musical
Jason Bateman (Arrested Development)
Don Cheadle (House of Lies)
Michael J. Fox (The Michael J. Fox Show)
Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory)
Andy Samberg (Brooklyn Nine-Nine)
My Pick: Michael J. Fox. A proven star makes a triumphant return to glory—there’s no way the HFPA is letting that story go without recognition.
Best Mini-Series Or Motion Picture Made for Television
American Horror Story: Coven
Behind the Candelabra
Dancing on the Edge
Top of the Lake
My Pick: Behind the Candelabra. Big names and a biopic—it’s two things awards committees are always attracted to wrapped up in one package.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television
Helena Bonham Carter (Burton and Taylor)
Rebecca Ferguson (White Queen)
Jessica Lange (American Horror Story: Coven)
Helen Mirren (Phil Spector)
Elisabeth Moss (Top of the Lake)
My Pick: Jessica Lange. She’s the terrifying, talented glue that holds every American Horror Story installment together.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television
Matt Damon (Behind the Candelabra)
Michael Douglas (Behind the Candelabra)
Chiwetel Ejiofor (Dancing on the Edge)
Idris Elba (Luther)
Al Pacino (Phil Spector)
My Pick: Matt Damon. Ultimately, this is probably Douglas’s to lose, but I have loved Damon for too long and have admired his quietly impressive abilities as an actor too often; my heart would never forgive me for not picking him.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Jacqueline Bisset (Dancing on the Edge)
Janet McTeer (White Queen)
Hayden Panettiere (Nashville)
Monica Potter (Parenthood)
Sofia Vergara (Modern Family)
My Pick: Monica Potter. These TV Supporting Actor/Actress categories are so hard to predict because they’re so far-reaching. However, I would love to see Parenthood finally get some recognition for its beautiful, honest storytelling, and what better way to honor it than with the woman whose work took the show to new emotional depths as her character battled cancer.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Josh Charles (The Good Wife)
Rob Lowe (Behind the Candelabra)
Aaron Paul (Breaking Bad)
Corey Stoll (House of Cards)
Jon Voight (Ray Donovan)
My Pick: Josh Charles. The Good Wife is having a renaissance this season, and I think that’s going to be recognized with a victory in some category at the Golden Globes. My prediction is that Charles will pull the upset over Paul for his intense, nuanced work in a season that has seen this consummate pro of an actor at his best.