On Friday, I made my picks for the Golden Globe winners in each television category. Now, I turn my attention to the world of film. When I was in high school, I dreamed of being a film critic, so I began trying to see as many critical darlings as I could. That passion for movies and the awards that are given to them has never faded, even though the film critic dream ended a long time ago.
So without further ado, I present the movies I think will be big winners at the Globes.
Best Picture, Drama:
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty
My Pick: Zero Dark Thirty. Though Lincoln now has all of the buzz going into the Oscars, the votes for the Globes were cast before the Oscar nominations came out. At that time, the buzz belonged to Zero Dark Thirty—and for good reason. It’s one of those movies that shines a light on our current world in a fearless way, and it’s done so with great critical and audience acclaim.
Best Picture, Musical or Comedy:
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Silver Linings Playbook
My Pick: Les Misérables. This category is one of the hardest for me to choose a winner for because both Les Misérables and Silver Linings Playbook are so good in such different ways. Ultimately, though, I think the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will be drawn to the spectacle and power of Les Misérables and reward all of the work that went into making this musical translate so well to the big screen.
Ben Affleck, Argo
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
My Pick: Ben Affleck. I know, I know—he was snubbed for an Oscar, so how can he possibly win this? The HFPA loves movie stars, especially multitalented ones. And the greatest strength of Argo (which was a film filled with strengths) was its direction.
Best Actress, Drama:
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea
My Pick: Jessica Chastain. She’s popular with critics, has a strong body of work from the last couple of years, and is still enough of an ingénue to intrigue the HFPA. In addition, she’s the glue that holds together the film I believe will take home Best Picture honors. I haven’t seen the movie yet, but the power she finds in stillness in the trailer alone is enough to make me want her to get this award.
Best Actor, Drama:
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Richard Gere, Arbitrage
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Denzel Washington, Flight
My Pick: Daniel Day-Lewis. If there’s a sure pick in this group of film nominees, it’s this one. From the day the movie was released, it was clear that he would be the frontrunner in the Best Actor race, and nothing has really changed to alter that assessment made by critics and audience members alike.
Best Actor, Musical or Comedy:
Jack Black, Bernie
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables
Ewan MCGregor, Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Bill Murray, Hyde Park on Hudson
My Pick: Hugh Jackman. While I also think Cooper was brilliant, I think Jackman’s performance was so magnetic that it would be hard for the HFPA to ignore. Not only did he sing beautifully and sing live; he brought a powerfully raw emotion to Jean Valjean. Without him, Les Misérables would have sunk. Instead, it succeeded as a groundbreaking movie musical thanks in large part to the considerable musical and acting talents of Jackman.
Best Actress, Musical or Comedy:
Emily Blunt, Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Maggie Smith, Quartet
Meryl Streep, Hope Springs
My Pick: Jennifer Lawrence. She’s almost as sure a bet as Day-Lewis. As the only 2013 Oscar nominee in the group, Lawrence has critical acclaim, audience love, and ingénue status working in her favor. Add to those things the fact that she was genuinely great in the film, delivering a masterful performance with a mature depth that went far beyond her age.
Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams, The Master
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy
My Pick: Anne Hathaway. While Field and Adams are respectable contenders, no one can top Hathaway this year in terms of sheer emotional power and vulnerability. From the moment the camera closed in on her tear-soaked face and she began to sing “I Dreamed a Dream,” it was clear that she was on a path to Oscar glory, and the Globes are just one of the many stops she will make along the way. I’m not sure any actor deserves recognition this awards season more than she does.
Best Supporting Actor:
Alan Arkin, Argo
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
My Pick: Tommy Lee Jones. Before the Oscar nominations raised Lincoln‘s critical profile, people were already praising this performance and predicting Jones to win big for it. Though I’d be happiest to see DiCaprio go home with a Globe, it’s hard to argue with giving it to a man who managed to pull off a magnificent performance while wearing such a horrid wig.
Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
Tony Kushner, Lincoln
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Chris Terrio, Argo
My Pick: Zero Dark Thirty. The way Boal takes such timely events and turns them into a deep and suspenseful film is both the subject of acclaim and controversy. But I think it’s ultimately the acclaim that will win out, with the HFPA choosing to reward a writer who was brave enough to tackle this subject and make it so utterly compelling.
Best Original Score:
Dario Marianelli, Anna Karenina
Alexandre Desplat, Argo
Tom Tykwer, Johnny Klimet & Reinhold Heil, Cloud Atlas
Michael Danna, Life of Pi
John Williams, Lincoln
My Pick: Cloud Atlas. Tykwer, Klimet, and Heil had the difficult task of using music to unite the different stories throughout Cloud Atlas. Each piece of the score had to reflect the story it was telling while relating to the stories that came before and would come after. That’s no easy feat, and I think the HFPA will celebrate the way these composers not only met the challenge head-on but were able to create something memorable in doing so—a score that critics have singled out in nearly every review of the film.
Best Original Song:
“For You” from Act of Valor
“Not Running Anymore” from Stand Up Guys
“Safe and Sound” from The Hunger Games
“Suddenly” from Les Misérables
“Skyfall” from Skyfall
My Pick: “Skyfall.” The power of Adele strikes again. With its retro feel that harkens back to the best Bond themes of old while still standing proudly on its own, “Skyfall” is a beautiful song that perfectly captures the mood of the film it’s attached to.
Best Foreign Language Film:
A Royal Affair
Rust and Bone
My Pick: Amour. It certainly has the most critical acclaim and buzz heading into these awards. With a plethora of Oscar nominations as well, it’s hard to imagine another one of these films stealing its thunder on Sunday.
Best Animated Feature:
Rise of the Guardians
My Pick: Wreck-It Ralph. Though Frankenweenie might emerge victorious, Wreck-It Ralph has enough creativity, heart, and captivating animation to set it apart from the pack.
There they are—my choices for the 2013 Golden Globes in the world of film. Check back here after the Globes for plenty of reactions to the winners, the fashion, and the most memorable moments of the night. And the NGN Twitter will be ridiculously active as we begin a season full of movies, celebrities, impassioned debates, and intelligent analysis—aka a film fanatic’s favorite time of the year.
Until then, what are your predictions for the big winners at the Golden Globes?