This Sunday ushers in one of my favorite seasons of the year—awards season! And here at NGN, I’m prepared to cover the major award shows (Golden Globes, SAG Awards, and Oscars) for you with the well-trained eyes and finely tuned opinions of a girl who’s been watching these things since she was in elementary school. Expect predictions, reactions, fashion opinions, and more live tweets than a sane person should probably expose themselves to. (Seriously, I’ll be live-tweeting on Sunday from the start of red carpet coverage at 5 p.m. until long after the ceremony is over. To say I’m excited is the understatement of the week.)
To kick off NGN’s Golden Globes coverage, it’s time for some predictions! Today I’ll tackle the television nominations, and sometime before the ceremony I’ll have my movie predictions for you, too.
Best Television Comedy or Musical:
The Big Bang Theory
My Pick: Modern Family. This show continues to be a critical darling as well as a consistently funny, mainstream hit. That seems to be a recipe for Globes success. However, the critical hype around Girls could end up making it a dark horse in this race.
Best Television Drama:
My Pick: Homeland. This seems to be about as sure a bet as there is at these awards. Though it seems to have fallen from grace this season to some extent, when it’s at its best it has a reputation for genius, compelling storytelling that goes beyond any of the other nominees.
Best Miniseries or Television Movie:
Hatfields & McCoys
My Pick: Game Change. The attention around it, the subject matter, and the cast of famous faces make this a fairly easy pick based on what the Hollywood Foreign Press Association has been known to gravitate towards in the past.
Best Actress, Television Drama:
Connie Britton, Nashville
Glenn Close, Damages
Claire Danes, Homeland
Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
My Pick: Claire Danes. If picking Homeland to win Best Drama is a sure bet, then this is an even easier pick. No matter what people seem to say about Homeland, they all seem united in their appreciation for what Danes has done with her challenging role.
Best Actor, Television Drama:
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Damian Lewis, Homeland
My Pick: Damian Lewis. As much as I want to say Hamm will win to make up for at least some of his Emmy woes, I don’t think anyone stands a chance against Homeland in the Big Three categories.
Best Actress, Television Comedy Or Musical:
Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
Lena Dunham, Girls
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
My Pick: Amy Poehler. To be honest, I could make compelling cases for all of these women. However, I feel like this is Poehler’s year. The work she has done in the last year on Parks and Rec has been her best yet, and the range she’s shown—from surprisingly subtle to over-the-top hilarious—should be enough to finally put an award in her hands for her brilliant performance.
Best Actor, Television Comedy Or Musical:
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Don Cheadle, House of Lies
Louis C.K., Louie
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
My Pick: Louis C.K. Louie is one of the most critically-acclaimed comedies on television right now, and the show wouldn’t exist without his talents. Plus, he’s a new face in terms of nominations compared to the rest of the men in the category, and sometimes the HFPA likes to look for ways to reward people who’ve never been there before, especially in TV categories.
Best Actress In A Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television:
Nicole Kidman, Hemingway and Gellhorn
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Asylum
Sienna Miller, The Girl
Julianne Moore, Game Change
Sigourney Weaver, Political Animals
My Pick: Jessica Lange. From what I hear (because I’ll admit, I’m much too anxious a person to ever actually watch American Horror Story), she’s even better this season than last season, which earned her a Globe. To be as consistently chilling as she seems to be on this show takes a special set of skills as an actor, and I think that will push her past Julianne Moore to her second consecutive award.
Best Actor in a Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television:
Kevin Costner, Hatfields and McCoys
Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock
Woody Harrelson, Game Change
Toby Jones, The Girl
Clive Owen, Hemingway and Gellhorn
My Pick: Woody Harrelson. If Internet fangirls were giving out these awards, there’s no question who would win: Benedict Cumberbatch. But for better or worse, they aren’t the people who decide on the Globes, so I think this award will go to Harrelson. And I can’t say I’ll be disappointed; he won me over as a fan last year with his incredible performance in The Hunger Games.
Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries, or Motion Picture Made for Television:
Hayden Panettiere, Nashville
Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife
Sarah Paulson, Game Change
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
My Pick: Maggie Smith. The biggest reason I want to start watching Downtown Abbey is because of all of the clips I’ve seen of Maggie Smith in it. She’s a venerable acting vet whose spark and skill haven’t faded at all over time, and I would be thrilled to see her go home with this award.
Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television:
Max Greenfield, New Girl
Ed Harris, Game Change
Danny Huston, Magic City
Mandy Patinkin, Homeland
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
My Pick: Max Greenfield. I hate the way the television supporting categories are set up at the Globes because it usually means someone talented and deserving will be left out because the category is too broad. In this case, I’m going out on a limb and saying that the HFPA will choose comedy over drama, and Mandy Patinkin will be the one left out. Greenfield brings such enthusiasm and surprising depth to his character that I think voters will be as charmed by Schmidt as audiences have been.
There they are—my picks for the television side of the 2013 Golden Globes. Check back soon for my movie picks, but until then, let me know who in the world of TV you think will be going home with a trophy on Sunday.